Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.049547 0.056716 0.064064 0.072125 0.080690 0.089490 0.099187
2025-10-19 0.038488 0.048951 0.060221 0.073117 0.087334 0.102412 0.119501
2025-10-26 0.030753 0.043083 0.056955 0.073383 0.092009 0.112220 0.135575
2025-11-02 0.025584 0.039193 0.055109 0.074501 0.096982 0.121804 0.150899
2025-11-09 0.020979 0.035282 0.052673 0.074440 0.100186 0.129049 0.163291
2025-11-16 0.016153 0.030416 0.048557 0.071935 0.100173 0.132316 0.170908
2025-11-23 0.012329 0.026314 0.044965 0.069703 0.100177 0.135354 0.178038
2025-11-30 0.010337 0.024490 0.044089 0.070650 0.103835 0.142519 0.189803
2025-12-07 0.008841 0.023181 0.043745 0.072148 0.108070 0.150289 0.202207
2025-12-14 0.007877 0.022564 0.044254 0.074673 0.113512 0.159448 0.216199
2025-12-21 0.006589 0.021203 0.043597 0.075586 0.116888 0.166098 0.227213
2025-12-28 0.006728 0.022361 0.046556 0.081285 0.126253 0.179930 0.246683
2026-01-04 0.005051 0.020015 0.044406 0.080266 0.127355 0.184072 0.255056
2026-01-11 0.004143 0.018964 0.044105 0.081714 0.131591 0.192040 0.268026
2026-01-18 0.003163 0.017508 0.043061 0.082064 0.134370 0.198205 0.278834
2026-01-25 0.002484 0.016531 0.042673 0.083262 0.138198 0.205620 0.291110
2026-02-01 0.001747 0.015115 0.041450 0.083199 0.140327 0.210904 0.300795
2026-02-08 0.000906 0.012819 0.038527 0.080543 0.138935 0.211738 0.305038
2026-02-15 0.000370 0.010840 0.035907 0.078173 0.137810 0.212822 0.309512
2026-02-22 0.000195 0.010177 0.035594 0.079178 0.141167 0.219489 0.320748
2026-03-01 0.000097 0.009753 0.035685 0.080769 0.145298 0.227123 0.333157
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.009705 0.036494 0.083447 0.150903 0.236617 0.347842
2026-03-15 0.000009 0.009129 0.036206 0.084414 0.154163 0.243135 0.358881